Oil Updates – prices climb on fears of Middle East conflict escalation

Oil Updates – prices climb on fears of Middle East conflict escalation
Brent crude futures for November delivery gained $1.12, up 1.56 percent to $73.10 a barrel as of 9:11 a.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock
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Updated 30 September 2024
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Oil Updates – prices climb on fears of Middle East conflict escalation

Oil Updates – prices climb on fears of Middle East conflict escalation

SINGAPORE: Oil prices rose for a second consecutive session on Monday, with concerns escalating over potential supply disruptions in the Middle East after Israel stepped up attacks on Palestianian militant group Hamas and Iranian-backed forces in the region.

Brent crude futures for November delivery gained $1.12, up 1.56 percent to $73.10 a barrel as of 9:11 a.m. Saudi time. That contract expires on Monday, and the more-active contract for December delivery climbed $1.04, or 1.45 percent, to $72.58.

US West Texas Intermediate crude futures advanced 93 cents, or 1.36 percent, to $69.11 a barrel.

Prices also rose last Friday, though for the week, Brent fell around 3 percent and WTI fell by around 5 percent on worries about demand in China, despite fiscal stimulus measures in the world’s second-biggest economy and top oil importer.

On Monday, prices were supported by the possibility that a widening Middle East conflict may directly involve Iran, a key producer and member of OPEC, after Israel escalated attacks on the Hezbollah and Houthi militant groups that Iran backs.

While excessive supplies are a key concern for oil markets, investors broadly fear a region-wide conflict in the Middle East could affect supplies from key producing areas, said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.

Hamas said an Israeli strike killed its leader in Lebanon on Monday, while another Palestinian militant group said three of its leaders were killed in a strike on Beirut.

Israel on Sunday launched airstrikes against the Houthi militia in Yemen and dozens of Hezbollah targets throughout Lebanon after earlier killing the Hezbollah leader.

In the context of Israel’s decisive strike on Hezbollah, oil prices will continue to be driven by supply and demand dynamics, said Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG.

Given the upcoming end of OPEC+’s voluntary supply cuts on Dec. 1, WTI may test its 2021 lows in the $61 to $62 a barrel range, he said.

“Additionally, despite China’s recent dovish shift, it’s unclear if this will translate into higher fuel demand, considering China’s advancements in electrifying and decarbonizing its transportation sector,” Sycamore said.

Data on Monday was not encouraging for demand, showing China’s manufacturing activity shrank for a fifth straight month and the services sector slowed sharply in September.

Later on Monday, markets will be waiting to hear from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for clues on the central bank’s pace of monetary easing. Seven other Fed policymakers are also due to speak this week, ANZ analysts said in a note.

With the Fed and other major central banks embarking on policy easing, some economic recovery could just be around the corner, said Phillip Nova’s Sachdeva.

“How well demand responds to easing rates, and how much Chinese demand revives after the major stimulus injected last week, will eventually shape oil market dynamics going forward,” she said.


Saudi Arabia’s King Abdulaziz International Airport serves 49.1m passengers in 2024

Saudi Arabia’s King Abdulaziz International Airport serves 49.1m passengers in 2024
Updated 14 sec ago
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Saudi Arabia’s King Abdulaziz International Airport serves 49.1m passengers in 2024

Saudi Arabia’s King Abdulaziz International Airport serves 49.1m passengers in 2024
  • Airport’s busiest day ever recorded was on Dec. 31, 2024
  • KAIA handled 47.1 million bags in 2024

RIYADH: King Abdulaziz International Airport in the Saudi port city of Jeddah served 49.1 million passengers in 2024, representing a 14.1 percent growth compared to the previous year. 

In a statement, Jeddah Airports Co. said that this achievement marks a “historic milestone,” as KAIA handled the highest annual operational figure in the history of airports in the Kingdom in 2024. 

The airport’s busiest day ever recorded was on Dec. 31, 2024, when it served more than 174,600 passengers. 

December also became the busiest month in the airport’s history, with passenger numbers surpassing 4.7 million. 

Strengthening the aviation sector is crucial for Saudi Arabia, as the Kingdom aims to position itself as a global tourism hub by the end of this decade. 

The National Tourism Strategy of Saudi Arabia aims to attract 150 million visitors by 2030 and increase the sector’s contribution to the nation’s gross domestic product from 6 percent to 10 percent.

KAIA also reported a significant increase in total flights last year, which exceeded 278,000, marking an 11 percent increase compared to 2023. 

The press statement added that KAIA also handled 47.1 million bags in 2024, with a 21 percent growth in operational throughput. 

Mazen Johar, CEO of Jeddah Airports attributed this rise in numbers to the KAIA’s accelerated operational growth, enabled by the Kingdom’s leadership and the close oversight of the Ministry of Transport and Logistics. 

Saudia achieves the highest punctuality rate

The Kingdom’s national carrier, Saudia, has topped the list of global airlines in departure on-time performance with a punctuality rate of 88.82 percent in 2024, according to new data from the independent aviation tracking site Cirium. 

According to a press statement, Saudia also ranked second globally in arrival on-time performance, achieving a rate of 86.35 percent. 

Over the past 12 months, the airline successfully operated 192,560 flights across its network of over 100 destinations spanning four continents. 

“We are proud to sustain excellence in global operational performance, which aligns with the objectives of the National Transport and Logistics Strategy and the National Aviation Sector Strategy,” said Ibrahim Al-Omar, director general of Saudia Group. 

He added: “This achievement reflects the collective efforts of Saudia Group employees across all business units and highlights the integrated role played by various sectors in ensuring operational efficiency. These efforts are directly tied to enhancing and improving the guest experience.” 

Saudia operates over 530 daily flights, connecting more than 100 destinations across four continents to the Kingdom with a fleet of 144 aircraft.

In the statement, the airline added that it plans to expand its fleet with 130 new aircraft in the coming years, increasing flight frequency and seat capacity to existing destinations while introducing new destinations to its network. 


Saudi Arabia boosts desalinated water supply to 50% in Vision 2030 push

Saudi Arabia boosts desalinated water supply to 50% in Vision 2030 push
Updated 36 min 35 sec ago
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Saudi Arabia boosts desalinated water supply to 50% in Vision 2030 push

Saudi Arabia boosts desalinated water supply to 50% in Vision 2030 push

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s water sector witnessed significant shifts in 2023, with a 31 percent increase in desalinated seawater production, now comprising 50 percent of the country’s distributed water supply, up from 44 percent in 2022, official data showed. 

According to the General Authority for Statistics’ latest Water Accounts report, non-renewable groundwater consumption by the agricultural sector dropped by 7 percent to 9,356 million cubic meters, compared to 10,044 million m³ in 2022. 

This surge reflects the Kingdom’s strategic efforts to bolster sustainable water resources as part of its Vision 2030 agenda, aimed at reducing dependency on non-renewable groundwater.  

In 2023, renewable groundwater abstraction rose to 21 percent of total groundwater use, while non-renewable abstraction fell by 6 percent, aligning with the country’s emphasis on resource preservation. Additionally, water reuse consumption increased by 12 percent to 555 million m³, signaling progress in recycling initiatives. 

Agriculture remained the largest consumer of water, using 12,298 million m³, but its expenditure share accounted for only 0.5 percent of total water costs. Meanwhile, industry dominated water-related expenditures at 61.4 percent, reflecting its significant reliance on distributed water for operations. 

The shift toward desalinated and renewable water sources is pivotal for Saudi Arabia, which faces acute water scarcity challenges. With groundwater resources depleting and the per capita household water consumption declining from 112.8 liters per day in 2022 to 102.1 liters in 2023, the Kingdom’s investments in desalination and reuse technologies underscore its commitment to long-term water security. 

Industrial sectors saw a notable increase in water consumption, with the share of distributed water used by industries rising to 30 percent in 2023 from 22 percent in 2022. This surge mirrors the Kingdom’s push for industrial expansion under Vision 2030, which emphasizes economic diversification. 

Despite these strides, non-renewable groundwater still constitutes 62 percent of the natural water supply, a decline from 68 percent in 2022 but still a dominant figure. The agriculture sector’s significant water use highlights opportunities for adopting more efficient irrigation techniques and exploring crop diversification to enhance sustainability. 

Saudi Arabia’s water strategy is set to play a critical role in achieving its economic and environmental goals. As the Kingdom continues to expand its desalination infrastructure and promote water reuse, it positions itself as a regional leader in tackling water scarcity through innovation and sustainable practices. 


Egypt advances nuclear program with permit for spent fuel storage

Egypt advances nuclear program with permit for spent fuel storage
Updated 05 January 2025
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Egypt advances nuclear program with permit for spent fuel storage

Egypt advances nuclear program with permit for spent fuel storage

RIYADH: Egypt’s Nuclear Power Plants Authority has secured a permit to construct a spent atomic fuel storage facility at the El-Dabaa power plant, located approximately 320 km northwest of Cairo.

The NPPA plans to begin the construction of the facility in 2025. This storage solution will provide safe, dry, and scientifically advanced containment for spent nuclear fuel, with the capacity to store waste for up to 100 years, all while adhering to the highest standards of safety and environmental protection.

El-Dabaa, Egypt’s first nuclear power plant and the country’s largest energy project in decades, is being developed in collaboration with Russia’s Rosatom. The plant will house four VVER-1200 reactors, the same type as those in operation at Russia’s Leningrad and Novovoronezh plants, as well as Belarus’s Ostrovets.

In a statement issued by the NPPA, Amjad El-Wakeel, chairman of the authority, highlighted the achievement as a significant milestone in Egypt’s nuclear program. “The authority has successfully secured the permit for the construction of the spent nuclear fuel storage facility at El-Dabaa, aligning with the project’s implementation timeline,” the statement read.

The NPPA formally submitted the permit request to Egypt’s Nuclear and Radiological Regulatory Authority on June 12, 2024, accompanied by comprehensive design and technical documentation reviewed by nuclear specialists.

Following a series of productive technical meetings between NPPA and NRRA experts, the permit was granted during NRRA’s seventh session on Dec. 31, 2024.

The decision came after a successful site inspection by NRRA representatives, who visited the El-Dabaa plant from Dec.1 to 5, 2024, to assess the site’s readiness for construction.

This development highlights Egypt’s commitment to advancing its nuclear energy program in line with both national priorities and international safety standards, the statement further noted.

Located in the Matrouh governorate along the Mediterranean coast, 250 km west of Alexandria, the El-Dabaa site offers numerous strategic advantages, including access to rail and road networks, low seismic activity, and an abundant supply of cooling water.

The El-Dabaa nuclear project, which has been in the planning stages since 1954, received formal approval in 1983 and was publicly announced in 2007. Following approval from the International Atomic Energy Agency in 2010, Egypt finalized agreements with Russia in 2015. Contracts came into effect in December 2017, and construction officially commenced in July 2022.


Saudi Arabia’s non-oil sector sustains growth in December: PMI survey 

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil sector sustains growth in December: PMI survey 
Updated 05 January 2025
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Saudi Arabia’s non-oil sector sustains growth in December: PMI survey 

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil sector sustains growth in December: PMI survey 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s non-oil private sector ended 2024 on a strong footing, driven by the fastest sales growth in a year, which pushed the Kingdom’s Purchasing Managers’ Index to 58.4 in December, according to a survey. 

The Riyad Bank Saudi Arabia PMI survey, compiled by S&P Global, showed that total sales volumes in the non-energy sector rose sharply in December, fueling robust increases in business activity and inventories. 

This performance underscores the Kingdom’s ongoing economic diversification under Vision 2030, which aims to reduce reliance on oil and promote sustainable growth. 

“Saudi Arabia’s non-oil private sector ended 2024 on a high note, reflecting the successful strides made under Vision 2030. The Purchasing Managers’ Index recorded 58.4, underscoring the sector’s resilience and expansion,” said Naif Al-Ghaith, chief economist at Riyad Bank. 

However, December’s PMI slightly declined from November’s 17-month high of 59. In October, the PMI stood at 56.9, and it registered 56.3 and 54.8 in September and August, respectively. 

According to S&P Global, any PMI reading above 50 signals growth in the non-oil sector, while readings below 50 indicate contraction. Notably, the Kingdom’s PMI has stayed above the 50 neutral mark continuously since September 2020, affirming the progress of its non-energy sector. 

The survey highlighted that cost inflation remained sharp in December due to strong input demand, but an easing of job creation helped to soften salary pressures for businesses. 

Non-oil businesses participating in the PMI survey noted that strong economic conditions, higher client demand, and new marketing campaigns contributed to a significant upturn in new work during the final month of 2024. 

“The non-oil GDP is expected to grow by more than 4 percent in 2024 and 2025, driven by substantial improvements in business conditions. A significant rise in new orders has bolstered this growth, indicating increased market confidence and demand,” said Al-Ghaith.  

He added: “Despite challenges such as sharp cost inflation due to strong input demand, the sector has navigated these pressures effectively. December saw a notable increase in material costs, yet wage costs rose more moderately. This balance was aided by an easing in job creation, which helped soften salary pressures.”  

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil businesses also strengthened their presence in international markets. The survey reported the sharpest increase in new export orders in 17 months, driven by product innovations and strong relationships with international clients. 

Business expectations improved to a nine-month high in December, with firms expressing optimism that robust sales growth would lead to greater activity levels in 2025. 

“With the non-oil GDP anticipated to continue its upward trajectory, the sector is well-positioned to contribute significantly to the Kingdom’s long-term economic goals,” said Al-Ghaith.  

He added: “The focus on improving business conditions, boosting domestic and international demand, and managing inflationary pressures aligns seamlessly with Vision 2030’s objectives, setting the stage for sustained growth and prosperity in the upcoming years.”  


Saudi green bond market soars on sustainable financing shift

Saudi green bond market soars on sustainable financing shift
Updated 05 January 2025
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Saudi green bond market soars on sustainable financing shift

Saudi green bond market soars on sustainable financing shift
  • Kingdom’s Green Financing Framework provides a comprehensive roadmap for backing climate-focused initiatives

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s green bond market is experiencing dramatic growth, positioning the Kingdom as a major player in sustainable financing as it works to meet the ambitious objectives of Vision 2030.

Green bonds, together with sukuk, have seen a surge in popularity, offering critical funding for eco-friendly projects in areas such as renewable energy, sustainable water management, and waste reduction. 

Launched by the Ministry of Finance in March, Saudi Arabia’s Green Financing Framework provides a comprehensive roadmap for backing climate-focused initiatives, igniting interest from both domestic and foreign investors. 

This foundation underscored the Kingdom’s environmental commitments under initiatives like the Saudi Green Initiative, which aims to combat climate change, reach net-zero emissions by 2060, and drive a national transition toward sustainable practices.

CEO of Middle East and North Africa and Asia Pacific at Saxo Bank, Damian Hitchen highlighted their strategic value in an interview with Arab News: “Green bonds are a critical financial tool for advancing Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, especially in reducing oil reliance and promoting renewable energy.”

“They foster a more balanced and resilient economy by funding projects outside the oil sector, such as green infrastructure and renewable energy,” Hitchen explained.

Pioneering projects and government support fuel growth

Vision 2030 has made sustainability a cornerstone of Saudi Arabia’s economic strategy, launching the Saudi Green Initiative and the Circular Carbon Economy framework.

“The key factor responsible for the growth of green bonds is Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, which aims to reduce the nation’s dependency on oil and increase reliance on clean energy to protect the environment and diversify its economy,” said Vijay Valecha, chief investment officer at Century Financial. 

He added that “strong government support,” evident from initiatives like the Saudi Green Initiative, offers a framework for sustainable projects and regulatory support for green finance instruments.

Significant achievements include the $8 billion funding for NEOM’s green hydrogen plant — the largest such project in the Middle East. 

The growing awareness of environmental issues and the measures taken by the government to transition to a low-carbon future highlight the potential for green bonds.

Vijay Valecha, chief investment officer at Century Financial

Saxo Bank’s Hitchen noted that the Kingdom’s commitment to green bonds could set a regional precedent, adding: “Saudi Arabia is emerging as a key player in the GCC’s (Gulf Cooperation Council’s) green bond market, spurred by Vision 2030 and the Saudi Green Initiative, which prioritize renewable energy and carbon emission reductions.” 

Meanwhile, Century Financial’s Valecha saw that Saudi Arabia is rapidly catching up as a key player in this market, citing NEOM’s green hydrogen plant as “a significant development.”

Investor confidence in green bonds surges

Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth organization, the Public Investment Fund, first issued a green bond in 2022, underscoring its commitment by allocating billions of dollars toward green infrastructure, renewable energy, and sustainable water projects. 

Hitchen saw this as creating a ripple effect in the market.

“Investor appetite for green bonds in Saudi Arabia has grown substantially, with institutional and retail investors increasingly drawn to sustainable finance. A notable shift in demand has emerged as environmental, social, and governance factors gain importance in investment strategies,” he said.

Valecha confirmed this rising demand, noting that “the investor appetite for green bonds in Saudi Arabia, particularly from institutional investors, is significant and is surging rapidly.”

He added: “This is evident from recent green bond issuance by the Public Investment Fund, which raised $8.5 billion.”

Valecha anticipated that as the government continues to promote financial literacy and awareness around sustainable investing, retail participation will also rise, “particularly as more individuals understand the tangible benefits of green bonds.”

This growth in demand comes as PIF plans to direct an additional $19.4 billion toward green projects, reflecting confidence in the stability and potential of Saudi Arabia’s green bond market. 

“The growing awareness of environmental issues and the measures taken by the government to transition to a low-carbon future highlight the potential for green bonds,” Valecha added.

Driving economic diversification and long-term sustainability

The rapid growth of green bonds is not only drawing in substantial investments but also supporting Saudi Arabia’s economic diversification, promoting eco-friendly industries and generating new market opportunities. 

Hitchen said: “Green bonds contribute to long-term economic stability and resilience by funding these non-oil sectors. They are pivotal for renewable energy goals, financing projects like solar and wind power to help the Kingdom achieve up to 130 gigawatts of renewable energy by 2030.”

Valecha echoed the transformative impact of these investments, asserting that green bonds are key to “providing the necessary funding to support large-scale solar and wind power projects, thus reducing reliance on fossil fuels and transitioning the Saudi economy toward a low-carbon future.” 

This shift not only benefits the environment but also creates jobs and opens avenues for sustainable urban development, green transportation, and water conservation.

As the Kingdom’s financial markets continue to embrace green bonds, the regulatory framework and investor confidence have solidified, laying the groundwork for sustainable growth. 

Hitchen called for further steps to maintain this momentum, stressing the importance of “strengthening government support and establishing robust transparency standards to give investors confidence that their funds are driving genuine sustainability.” 

Valecha agreed, suggesting that a comprehensive green finance ecosystem is essential.

“The government should further strengthen the rules and regulations to boost investor confidence and attract more capital,” he said, adding: “A domestic green finance ecosystem, including ESG reporting standards and clearer tax incentives, can go a long way in supporting the demand for green bonds.”